What's this all about?

The Bracket Matrix tries to collect most bracketologists' opinions of how the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament bracket will look like each year.  This page measures how closely each bracketologist matched the work of the selection committee.

Using the final results from past matrices, each site was graded based on a scoring system made by Paymon at PHSports.  This rubric awards 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team either seeded correctly or within one seed line. With 68 teams, a perfect score is 408.  The variance section of the data table below lists the absolute deviation between each score and the mean for that particular year.  Thus, a 10 point variance means that site's bracket scored 10 points higher than the average bracket that year.

Please remember that these are in essence the final exam grades.  The true value of a good bracketologist lies in how much preparation he or she does leading up to the final exam including watching games, making mock brackets, looking at computer rankings, comparing blind resumes, taking questions from ESPN personalities (okay, that's just Lunardi), interacting with the fans to incite debate, and in the end, figuring out how the committee will put together the official bracket.  Of course, in most courses, final exams count the most, so with that being said, here are the results.  Bracketologists have been split into two groups: one group contains sites that have participated for at least 3 years.  The second group shows everybody else.  All bracketologists must have submitted a bracket in 2014 to be on this list.

PAYMON SCORE   VARIANCE   AVERAGE YEARS IN
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014   MATRIX
284.4 285.9 309.1 303.6 303.5 311.4 327.2 323.5 330.3                          
                                           
THE BRACKET MATRIX   287 283 333 310 311 318 342 346 336   2.6 -2.9 23.9 6.4 7.5 6.6 14.8 22.5 5.7   9.67 9
                                             
BRACKET VETERANS - 3 YEARS or MORE                                            
1 Midwest Sports Fans MSF             348 339 341               20.8 15.5 10.7   15.65 3
2 1-3-1 Sports 131             340 342 340               12.8 18.5 9.7   13.65 3
3 Dre's Mock Bracket Dre             335 337 345               7.8 13.5 14.7   11.99 3
4 Roundball Chat RBC             343 336 337               15.8 12.5 6.7   11.65 3
5 68&16 College Sportscast 68&16           329 327 331 349             17.6 -0.2 7.5 18.7   10.88 4
6 Kyle Foster's Bracketology Kyle             346 329 337               18.8 5.5 6.7   10.32 3
7 Beer's Bracket Beer       305 319 325 333   342         1.4 15.5 13.6 5.8   11.7   9.60 5
8 D1scourse/Syracuse.com - Patrick Stevens PS     319 301 321 326 341 326 341       9.9 -2.6 17.5 14.6 13.8 2.5 10.7   9.48 7
9 Lobofan2003's Bracketology Lobo       307 315 321 350 330 333         3.4 11.5 9.6 22.8 6.5 2.7   9.40 6
10 M+J's Bracket Watch MJ             336 322 350               8.8 -1.5 19.7   8.99 3
10 Syracusefan7's Bracketology SF7             336 331 341               8.8 7.5 10.7   8.99 3
12 Busting the Bracket - Jeff Borzello BtBr 295 287 333 312 313 318 328 331 336   10.6 1.1 23.9 8.4 9.5 6.6 0.8 7.5 5.7   8.22 9
13 Primetime Bracketology - HTTV HTTV         307 325 326 335 344           3.5 13.6 -1.2 11.5 13.7   8.20 5
14 Jabesblog Jabe         303 327 321 344 341           -0.5 15.6 -6.2 20.5 10.7   8.00 5
15 BYOBracket - mistersuits BYO             333 338 333               5.8 14.5 2.7   7.65 3
16 Bazinga Bracketology JH         294 318 346 329 346           -9.5 6.6 18.8 5.5 15.7   7.40 5
17 Wild Bill's Bracketology Wild             326 336 341               -1.2 12.5 10.7   7.32 3
18 Bracketville BV       316 322 313 327 326 339         12.4 18.5 1.6 -0.2 2.5 8.7   7.24 6
19 Big Underdog BU             327 324 350               -0.2 0.5 19.7   6.65 3
20 The Bracket Project BP 291 311 313 311 307 326 317 318 344   6.6 25.1 3.9 7.4 3.5 14.6 -10.2 -5.5 13.7   6.56 9
21 Bracket WAG WAG   293 326 310 290 323 337 324 343     7.1 16.9 6.4 -13.5 11.6 9.8 0.5 12.7   6.43 8
22 The Bracket Board TBB 289 286 318 315 312 306 340 328 342   4.6 0.1 8.9 11.4 8.5 -5.4 12.8 4.5 11.7   6.33 9
23 Gotham Hoops GH             330 330 340               2.8 6.5 9.7   6.32 3
24 Brackonomics Brack         315 319 335 330 328           11.5 7.6 7.8 6.5 -2.3   6.20 5
25 Busting Bracketologists - CJ CJ       313 299 311 331 342 338         9.4 -4.5 -0.4 3.8 18.5 7.7   5.74 6
26 Brad-ketology Brad         310 323 329 321 339           6.5 11.6 1.8 -2.5 8.7   5.20 5
27 Blogging the Bracket SBN     323 307 296 320 325 328 346       13.9 3.4 -7.5 8.6 -2.2 4.5 15.7   5.20 7
28 Ivar's Blog Ivar           325 322 329 337             13.6 -5.2 5.5 6.7   5.13 4
29 Primetime Bracketology - Buckeye PTB-B         309 307 334 333 337           5.5 -4.4 6.8 9.5 6.7   4.80 5
30 The Sports Bank TSB         301 318 326 334 340           -2.5 6.6 -1.2 10.5 9.7   4.60 5
31 Bracketology Expert - Evans BE-DE     325 311 296   336 331 325       15.9 7.4 -7.5   8.8 7.5 -5.3   4.47 6
32 Kentucky Sports Online KSO           310 344 318 337             -1.4 16.8 -5.5 6.7   4.13 4
33 Stuck in 1977 1977             329 333 330               1.8 9.5 -0.3   3.65 3
34 MAG MAG 293 286 314 293 305 313 338 339 330   8.6 0.1 4.9 -10.6 1.5 1.6 10.8 15.5 -0.3   3.56 9
35 Yahoo Sports - Brad Evans Yahoo     318 293 308 316 333 326 336       8.9 -10.6 4.5 4.6 5.8 2.5 5.7   3.05 7
36 LAOJoe's Bracketology Joe         318 307 331 324 331           14.5 -4.4 3.8 0.5 0.7   3.00 5
37 Quantitative Prognosticator QP           314 339 320 331             2.6 11.8 -3.5 0.7   2.88 4
38 Jason Wells' Bracketology JW             321 332 336               -6.2 8.5 5.7   2.65 3
39 VTS Bracketmaker VTS       309 306 316 325 319 340         5.4 2.5 4.6 -2.2 -4.5 9.7   2.57 6
40 RFS Bracket Science RFS           323 307 338 334             11.6 -20.2 14.5 3.7   2.38 4
41 Bracketology Expert - Hofstad BE-BH       314 307 313 333 323 323         10.4 3.5 1.6 5.8 -0.5 -7.3   2.24 6
42 Bucky's Bracket Bucky         310 316 326 322 332           6.5 4.6 -1.2 -1.5 1.7   2.00 5
43 TK's Bracket Breakdown BBB       304 299 311 332 332 333         0.4 -4.5 -0.4 4.8 8.5 2.7   1.90 6
44 ESPN Bracketology - Joe Lunardi ESPN 296 275 307 307 300 310 332 330 339   11.6 -10.9 -2.1 3.4 -3.5 -1.4 4.8 6.5 8.7   1.89 9
45 Schmolik 64 S64 291 284 303 310 291 313 338 337 327   6.6 -1.9 -6.1 6.4 -12.5 1.6 10.8 13.5 -3.3   1.67 9
46 March Madness '13 MM14   272 295 309 305 320 331 331 342     -13.9 -14.1 5.4 1.5 8.6 3.8 7.5 11.7   1.30 8
47 Oak Creek's March Madness Oak         286 305 335 343 333           -17.5 -6.4 7.8 19.5 2.7   1.20 5
48 Chop Culture Chop         303 313 332 318 335           -0.5 1.6 4.8 -5.5 4.7   1.00 5
49 College Sports Vault EDGE             319 316 349               -8.2 -7.5 18.7   0.99 3
50 Bracket Mensa BM         312 313 316 330 325           8.5 1.6 -11.2 6.5 -5.3   0.00 5
51 Regan NCAA Tournament Index Regan             325 330 326               -2.2 6.5 -4.3   -0.01 3
52 CBS Sports - Jerry Palm CBS 277   310 315 312 301 329 322 325   -7.4   0.9 11.4 8.5 -10.4 1.8 -1.5 -5.3   -0.26 8
53 Rock M Nation Rock       300 301 313 323 333 323         -3.6 -2.5 1.6 -4.2 9.5 -7.3   -1.10 6
54 Warren Nolan WN 297 281 304 307 303 298 325 322 331   12.6 -4.9 -5.1 3.4 -0.5 -13.4 -2.2 -1.5 0.7   -1.22 9
55 Bracketological Excellence BE           316 315 316 340             4.6 -12.2 -7.5 9.7   -1.37 4
56 Crashing the Dance CtD   273 296 306 309 319 318 326 336     -12.9 -13.1 2.4 5.5 7.6 -9.2 2.5 5.7   -1.45 8
57 The Catch & Shoot - Jesse Kramer C&S         294 307 331 321 334           -9.5 -4.4 3.8 -2.5 3.7   -1.80 5
58 Hoosierguy1019's Bracketology TBBB             332 315 328               4.8 -8.5 -2.3   -2.01 3
59 Kurt's Bracket Kurt           301 313 334 335             -10.4 -14.2 10.5 4.7   -2.37 4
60 Bracket Predictions BrP 289 280 317 298 301 310 318 315 329   4.6 -5.9 7.9 -5.6 -2.5 -1.4 -9.2 -8.5 -1.3   -2.44 9
61 Daily Bracket DB         306 302 331 314 329           2.5 -9.4 3.8 -9.5 -1.3   -2.80 5
62 Crotistics Cro             322 302 348               -5.2 -21.5 17.7   -3.01 3
63 Bracketville USA BUSA         308 307 331 318 316           4.5 -4.4 3.8 -5.5 -14.3   -3.20 5
64 Bracketography/Team Rankings TR 293 277 318 325 284 314 332 304 302   8.6 -8.9 8.9 21.4 -19.5 2.6 4.8 -19.5 -28.3   -3.33 9
65 Basketball Predictions BaP   287 297 296 306 306 321 330 324     1.1 -12.1 -7.6 2.5 -5.4 -6.2 6.5 -6.3   -3.45 8
66 Kerry Miller's Bracketology BR-KM           301 310 325 341             -10.4 -17.2 1.5 10.7   -3.87 4
67 BEISketbol BEIS         279 300 334 318 336           -24.5 -11.4 6.8 -5.5 5.7   -5.80 5
68 SportsRatings SR           318 312 313 326             6.6 -15.2 -10.5 -4.3   -5.87 4
69 Seeding68 S68             324 320 316               -3.2 -3.5 -14.3   -7.01 3
70 Brack Attack BA       287 298 304 335 309 319         -16.6 -5.5 -7.4 7.8 -14.5 -11.3   -7.93 6
71 660 Sports (Beat the Experts) 660   291 298 295 289   324 317 311     5.1 -11.1 -8.6 -14.5   -3.2 -6.5 -19.3   -8.30 7
72 The Sporting News - Ryan Fagan SN       298 303 294 321 322 309         -5.6 -0.5 -17.4 -6.2 -1.5 -21.3   -8.76 6
73 Seed Madness Seed         291 295 321 322 319           -12.5 -16.4 -6.2 -1.5 -11.3   -9.60 5
74 Real Time RPI Real         295 296 324 308 312           -8.5 -15.4 -3.2 -15.5 -18.3   -12.20 5
75 Here's to the ACC ACC             311 318 312               -16.2 -5.5 -18.3   -13.35 3
76 96 Madness 96M             313 297 318               -14.2 -26.5 -12.3   -17.68 3
                                               
BRACKET NEWBIES - 2 YEARS or LESS   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014      
1 Bowman's Bracketology Bow                 346                   15.7   15.68 1
1 The Nickel Dimer ND                 346                   15.7   15.68 1
3 Bradley01 Bracketology BSB1               329 346                 5.5 15.7   10.60 2
4 College Hoops Daily CHD                 340                   9.7   9.68 1
4 Your Average College Student YACS                 340                   9.7   9.68 1
6 Sports Doctor Bracketology SNH               341 331                 17.5 0.7   9.10 2
7 Ruckles Bracketology RB                 339                   8.7   8.68 1
8 Bracket Quest Quest                 338                   7.7   7.68 1
8 Dudes on Sports DoS                 338                   7.7   7.68 1
10 VDG Bracket Prediction VDG               329 338                 5.5 7.7   6.60 2
11 37 Score 37S               342 322                 18.5 -8.3   5.10 2
12 Josh's Blog Josh               329 333                 5.5 2.7   4.10 2
13 Random Bracket Blog RBB                 333                   2.7   2.68 1
14 Drew's Bracketology Drew                 332                   1.7   1.68 1
14 ncaabracketology brac                 332                   1.7   1.68 1
16 The Steelers n'at TSN               322 334                 -1.5 3.7   1.10 2
17 Bracket Odds Brodd               322 330                 -1.5 -0.3   -0.90 2
17 Jason Taylor's Tournament Picks JT               327 325                 3.5 -5.3   -0.90 2
19 Bracketball Bball                 329                   -1.3   -1.32 1
20 The Courier-Journal - Jeff Greer C-J                 328                   -2.3   -2.32 1
21 Rocco Miller's Bracketology RM               317 331                 -6.5 0.7   -2.90 2
22 City View Sportscast CVS                 326                   -4.3   -4.32 1
22 No Coast Bias NCB                 326                   -4.3   -4.32 1
24 Man with a Spreadsheet Man               318 327                 -5.5 -3.3   -4.40 2
25 The Bracket Bracketology Mania               316 328                 -7.5 -2.3   -4.90 2
26 Bracket Dance March               315 328                 -8.5 -2.3   -5.40 2
27 The Amateur Bracketologist TAB               311 329                 -12.5 -1.3   -6.90 2
28 The Big Lead - Jason Lisk Lead               313 326                 -10.5 -4.3   -7.40 2
29 Beyond Varsity BVB               322 315                 -1.5 -15.3   -8.40 2
30 Bafana Bafana Bracketology BBCB                 321                   -9.3   -9.32 1
30 Bracket Briefer Brief                 321                   -9.3   -9.32 1
30 Explorertown Bracketologist EB                 321                   -9.3   -9.32 1
30 One Minute Remaining OMR                 321                   -9.3   -9.32 1
30 Sports Illustrated - Michael Beller SI                 321                   -9.3   -9.32 1
35 G Money's Sports Page GM               325 309                 1.5 -21.3   -9.90 2
36 Roto Experts - Adam Zdroik Roto                 320                   -10.3   -10.32 1
37 HoopsHD - The Buffet HHD               311 321                 -12.5 -9.3   -10.90 2
38 Deuce 2 Sports D2S                 318                   -12.3   -12.32 1
39 Badger Nation - Kyle Rechert BN                 317                   -13.3   -13.32 1
40 D Ratings DII               311 316                 -12.5 -14.3   -13.40 2
41 College Sports Madness CSM               308 315                 -15.5 -15.3   -15.40 2
42 nropp.com nropp               305 304                 -18.5 -26.3   -22.40 2
43 CU Buffs Bball CU                 297                   -33.3   -33.32 1
44 KPI Rankings KPI                 295                   -35.3   -35.32 1
45 Josh Engleman JE                 283                   -47.3   -47.32 1
Questions, comments, or mistakes should be mailed to bracketproject@gmail.com