PAST CHAMPIONS

2021 - Patrick Stevens (D1scourse/Washington Post)
2019 - bracksketblogs
2018 - 1-3-1 Sports/Crazy Sports Dude/Gade Pool/M-Sports Fans
2017 - Pulse on Sports (Kevin Pulsifer)
2016 - Delphi Bracketology

2015 - Bracketville (Dave Ommen)
2014 - Big Underdog (Jason Carmello)/M+J's Bracket Watch
2013 - Jabesblog
2012 - Lobofan2003's Bracketology
2011 - FOX Sports (Jordan Schwartz)
2010 - Bracketville (Dave Ommen)/Bracket Madness/Washington Post (Eric Prisbell)
2009 - Bracketography
2008 - March Madness All Season (Jeff Borzello)
2007 - The Bracket Project
2006 - Bracket Racket/Bracketology 101

5-YEAR BRACKET MATRIX RANKINGS

PAYMON SCORE   VARIANCE   5-YR WT AVG YEARS IN
2016 2017 2018 2019 2021   2016 2017 2018 2019 2021   MATRIX
AVERAGE   321.5 335.9 337.8 341.9 346.4   1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0      
                 
THE BRACKET MATRIX     329 341 347 361 366   7.5 5.1 9.2 19.1 19.6   14.64 15
                             
BRACKET VETERANS - 3+ YEARS                            
1 Crazy Sports Dude Crazy       361 353 359       23.2 11.1 12.6   14.75 3
2 Delphi Bracketology Delphi   351 352 357 337 369   29.5 16.1 19.2 -4.9 22.6   14.18 5
3 Heat Check CBB - Lukas Harkins Hark   334 341 349 359 364   12.5 5.1 11.2 17.1 17.6   14.18 5
4 Weber's Bracketology Weber     333 353 353 368     -2.9 15.2 11.1 21.6   13.73 4
5 Boiling the Bracket Boil     348 343 351 369     12.1 5.2 9.1 22.6   13.51 4
6 Pulse on Sports - Kevin Pulsifer Pulse   333 367 353 349 357   11.5 31.1 15.2 7.1 10.6   13.38 5
7 One Man Selection Committee OMC   341 345 357 347 363   19.5 9.1 19.2 5.1 16.6   13.24 6
8 1-3-1 Sports 131   329 339 361 350 363   7.5 3.1 23.2 8.1 16.6   13.24 9
9 Bracketville BV   344 357 357 347 357   22.5 21.1 19.2 5.1 10.6   13.04 12
10 D Ratings DII   301 346 357 351 366   -20.5 10.1 19.2 9.1 19.6   12.78 8
11 Oak Creek's March Madness Oak   329 338 350 353 366   7.5 2.1 12.2 11.1 19.6   12.71 11
12 Busting the Bracket - Jeff Borzello BtBr   330 341 347 353 366   8.5 5.1 9.2 11.1 19.6   12.58 15
13 Inside the Hall - Andy Bottoms Hall   332 348 354 351 360   10.5 12.1 16.2 9.1 13.6   12.51 9
14 Switching the Coverage StC   340 338 352 359 357   18.5 2.1 14.2 17.1 10.6   12.44 8
15 Primetime Bracketology - Grant Hansell Grant   336 350 342 349 367   14.5 14.1 4.2 7.1 20.6   12.44 11
16 Jason Wells' Bracketology JW   317 338 357 357 360   -4.5 2.1 19.2 15.1 13.6   12.38 9
17 Facts and Bracks F&B     356 351 352 357     20.1 13.2 10.1 10.6   12.37 7
18 Nick Elam Elam   288 348 361   361   -33.5 12.1 23.2   14.6   12.12 4
19 HoopsHD - Jon Teitel HHD-JT   334 353 347 354 357   12.5 17.1 9.2 12.1 10.6   11.71 7
20 Gade Pool Gade   336 338 361 350 357   14.5 2.1 23.2 8.1 10.6   11.58 6
21 Making the Madness - Jonathon Warriner MtM   316 336 333 365 366   -5.5 0.1 -4.8 23.1 19.6   11.38 5
22 Rocco Miller's Bracketology RM   311 352 354 350 360   -10.5 16.1 16.2 8.1 13.6   11.38 8
23 Wild Bill's Bracketology Corral Corral   331 350 358 339 363   9.5 14.1 20.2 -2.9 16.6   11.31 9
24 FTNBets - Brad Evans FTN   331 346 352 354 356   9.5 10.1 14.2 12.1 9.6   11.24 13
25 Sharpshot Selections Sharp       343 342 370       5.2 0.1 23.6   11.16 3
26 Scott's Bracketology Scott   324 346 355 353 355   2.5 10.1 17.2 11.1 8.6   10.78 9
27 Bracksketblogs BKS   305 331 349 367 357   -16.5 -4.9 11.2 25.1 10.6   10.71 5
28 Seanny P Bracketology SP       343 348 364       5.2 6.1 17.6   10.66 3
29 Graham Doeren Bracketology GDB   331 341 347 352 360   9.5 5.1 9.2 10.1 13.6   10.38 5
30 Sluder's Bracketology Sluder       350 355 353       12.2 13.1 6.6   10.16 3
31 Syracusefan7's Bracketology SF7   347 351 350 339 360   25.5 15.1 12.2 -2.9 13.6   9.91 9
32 Bracketological Excellence BE   331 353 344 357 351   9.5 17.1 6.2 15.1 4.6   9.71 10
33 Big Underdog - Jason Carmello BU   334 333 356 348 358   12.5 -2.9 18.2 6.1 11.6   9.58 9
34 MAG MAG   328 339 347 364 349   6.5 3.1 9.2 22.1 2.6   9.44 15
35 Brack Attack BA   324 335 353 353 356   2.5 -0.9 15.2 11.1 9.6   9.24 12
36 Bucky's Bracket Bucky   335 344 343 354 355   13.5 8.1 5.2 12.1 8.6   9.11 11
37 Anthony's Blog AB       353 343 358       15.2 1.1 11.6   9.00 3
38 The Mind of Mike Broman Mind   340 338 337 362 353   18.5 2.1 -0.8 20.1 6.6   8.91 5
39 RSN Bracketology RSN   325 335 357 346 358   3.5 -0.9 19.2 4.1 11.6   8.91 6
40 Bracket Mensa Mensa   318 335 360 353 351   -3.5 -0.9 22.2 11.1 4.6   8.58 11
41 Brackonomics Brack   322 343 350 349 356   0.5 7.1 12.2 7.1 9.6   8.51 11
42 March Madness 2021 MM21     344 332 358 357     8.1 -5.8 16.1 10.6   8.30 13
43 Spidey's Bracket Spidey     328 350 346 362     -7.9 12.2 4.1 15.6   8.23 4
44 Warren Nolan WN   350 348 352 348 347   28.5 12.1 14.2 6.1 0.6   8.18 15
45 The Catch and Shoot - Jesse Kramer C&S   334 349 343 359 346   12.5 13.1 5.2 17.1 -0.4   8.04 11
46 RFS Bracket Science RFS   314 345 339 349 362   -7.5 9.1 1.2 7.1 15.6   8.04 10
47 The Game Haus Haus       351 350 351       13.2 8.1 4.6   7.91 3
48 Nothing but Nylon NBN   331 343 346 347 356   9.5 7.1 8.2 5.1 9.6   7.78 6
49 Stuck in 1977 1977   306 337 345 353 359   -15.5 1.1 7.2 11.1 12.6   7.71 9
50 M+J's Bracket Watch MJ   327 354 341 348 354   5.5 18.1 3.2 6.1 7.6   7.58 9
51 D1scourse - Patrick Stevens PS   331 338 341 332 372   9.5 2.1 3.2 -9.9 25.6   7.44 13
52 KY Brackets KY   325 330 349 355 353   3.5 -5.9 11.2 13.1 6.6   7.38 6
53 Haslametrics HM   290 348 348 359 350   -31.5 12.1 10.2 17.1 3.6   7.31 5
54 Watch Stadium - Tim Krueger Stad   339 350 339 350 351   17.5 14.1 1.2 8.1 4.6   6.98 12
55 ESPN Bracketology - Joe Lunardi ESPN   323 329 344 357 354   1.5 -6.9 6.2 15.1 7.6   6.98 15
56 Bracket Forecast - Rusty Tutton BF   322 340 352 348 352   0.5 4.1 14.2 6.1 5.6   6.91 8
57 Jacob Stallard's Bracketology JS     357 358 347 341     21.1 20.2 5.1 -5.4   6.87 4
58 RotoWire BracketZology - Adam Zdroik Roto   336 345 347 351 347   14.5 9.1 9.2 9.1 0.6   6.64 7
59 Jeff Griffith Bracketology Jeff       335 354 354       -2.8 12.1 7.6   6.50 3
60 Random Bracket Blog RBB   325 331 351 362 343   3.5 -4.9 13.2 20.1 -3.4   6.44 7
61 Ruckles Bracketology RB   324 344 356 340 352   2.5 8.1 18.2 -1.9 5.6   6.24 7
62 Razorbrackets Razor   312 339 340 348 359   -9.5 3.1 2.2 6.1 12.6   6.04 6
63 RaleighWX's Bracketology RWX     338 344 351 351     2.1 6.2 9.1 4.6   5.87 4
64 The 17th Seed 17th     336 353 330 363     0.1 15.2 -11.9 16.6   5.80 4
65 Lobofan2003's Bracketology Lobo   309 332 355 336 361   -12.5 -3.9 17.2 -5.9 14.6   5.38 12
66 Busted Bracketology KHB       338 336 363       0.2 -5.9 16.6   5.00 3
67 No Perfect Bracket NPB     338 346 346 351     2.1 8.2 4.1 4.6   4.87 4
68 Bazinga Bracketology JH   321 357 338 350 346   -0.5 21.1 0.2 8.1 -0.4   4.84 11
69 Jason Lisk's Bracketology Lisk   331 338 343 343 354   9.5 2.1 5.2 1.1 7.6   4.78 8
70 Best Damn Bracket Period BBP   326 332 353 347 348   4.5 -3.9 15.2 5.1 1.6   4.71 5
71 Stewart SP Bracketology STEW   320 334 341 348 354   -1.5 -1.9 3.2 6.1 7.6   4.44 8
72 Bracket WAG WAG   320 343 340 346 352   -1.5 7.1 2.2 4.1 5.6   4.24 14
73 VTS Bracketmaker VTS   325 333 359 338 350   3.5 -2.9 21.2 -3.9 3.6   4.24 12
74 Carolina Sports Thoughts CST   322 342 327 344 361   0.5 6.1 -10.8 2.1 14.6   4.11 6
75 Busting Bracketologists - CJ CJ   335 347 354 339 344   13.5 11.1 16.2 -2.9 -2.4   4.04 12
76 Ivar's Blog Ivar   325 340 343 347 349   3.5 4.1 5.2 5.1 2.6   4.04 10
77 Gators First G1     324 332 341 366     -11.9 -5.8 -0.9 19.6   3.80 4
78 Jabesblog Jabe   333 347 341 343 348   11.5 11.1 3.2 1.1 1.6   3.71 11
79 Bracketball Bball   325 329 346 345 352   3.5 -6.9 8.2 3.1 5.6   3.64 7
80 Kyle Foster's Bracketology Kyle   330 357 346 347 338   8.5 21.1 8.2 5.1 -8.4   3.58 9
81 The Geek's Bracketology Geek       341 335 358       3.2 -6.9 11.6   3.33 3
82 The Coach and Crew Show Coach   319 324 351   351   -2.5 -11.9 13.2   4.6   3.30 5
83 Bracket Bros Bros     344 349 334 352     8.1 11.2 -7.9 5.6   3.30 4
84 Hind's Bracketology Hind     348 339 339 352     12.1 1.2 -2.9 5.6   3.15 4
85 Head vs. Gut HvG   320 331 344 341 355   -1.5 -4.9 6.2 -0.9 8.6   3.11 6
86 Blogging the Bracket SBN   335 339 340 348 345   13.5 3.1 2.2 6.1 -1.4   2.91 13
87 Heartbreak City HBC       333 338 359       -4.8 -3.9 12.6   2.75 3
88 TCW Bracketology TCW       342 346 347       4.2 4.1 0.6   2.66 3
89 Bracket Beyond Beyond       336 348 349       -1.8 6.1 2.6   2.66 3
90 Mondays are for Bracketology Mon     344 341 342 348     8.1 3.2 0.1 1.6   2.44 4
91 Deuce 2 Sports D2S   329 326 324 353 355   7.5 -9.9 -13.8 11.1 8.6   2.24 7
92 The Steelers n'at TSN   332 337 341 347 344   10.5 1.1 3.2 5.1 -2.4   2.04 8
93 Bracket Bingo Bingo       309 350 362       -28.8 8.1 15.6   2.00 3
94 Bracket Racket Racket       332 337 358       -5.8 -4.9 11.6   1.75 3
95 HoopsHD HHD   325 337 336 339 350   3.5 1.1 -1.8 -2.9 3.6   0.44 8
96 Regan NCAA Tournament Index Regan   311 342 339 340 348   -10.5 6.1 1.2 -1.9 1.6   0.38 9
97 rcerulo's Bracketology Cerulo     343 334 340 348     7.1 -3.8 -1.9 1.6   0.23 4
98 Bracket Zac Zac     324 331 345 353     -11.9 -6.8 3.1 6.6   0.08 4
99 The BIG Heartland Heart       326 349 348       -11.8 7.1 1.6   0.08 3
100 CBS Sports - Jerry Palm CBS   326 330 343 344 343   4.5 -5.9 5.2 2.1 -3.4   -0.02 14
101 Kerry Miller's Bracketology BR-KM   336 321 345 337 346   14.5 -14.9 7.2 -4.9 -0.4   -1.02 10
102 Selje's Bracketology Selje     339 352 335 339     3.1 14.2 -6.9 -7.4   -1.13 4
103 Brad-ketology Brad   333 357 328 329 348   11.5 21.1 -9.8 -12.9 1.6   -1.29 11
104 Made for March Made       334 343 343       -3.8 1.1 -3.4   -2.00 3
105 Bracket Odds Brodd   319 347 322 337 349   -2.5 11.1 -15.8 -4.9 2.6   -2.29 8
106 BEISketbol BEIS   334 351 330 338 330   12.5 15.1 -7.8 -3.9 -16.4   -5.22 11
107 LAOJoe's Bracketology Joe   337 340 352 326 329   15.5 4.1 14.2 -15.9 -17.4   -5.62 11
108 68&16 College Sportscast 68&16   323 336 319 326 351   1.5 0.1 -18.8 -15.9 4.6   -6.36 10
109 Bracketville USA BUSA   322 320 310 341 350   0.5 -15.9 -27.8 -0.9 3.6   -6.69 11
110 Bracks on Bracks BoB     315 341 339 336     -20.9 3.2 -2.9 -10.4   -6.85 4
111 Blacketology black   323 331 314 352 332   1.5 -4.9 -23.8 10.1 -14.4   -7.42 9
112 Joe Kellogg Bracketology JKB   324 322 336 342 330   2.5 -13.9 -1.8 0.1 -16.4   -7.49 5
113 Camp Burt Burt     332 331 344 328     -3.9 -6.8 2.1 -18.4   -7.99 4
114 Bracketologist Steve Steve   312 336 344 326 333   -9.5 0.1 6.2 -15.9 -13.4   -8.09 5
115 ncaabracketology brac   294 323 327 326 352   -27.5 -12.9 -10.8 -15.9 5.6   -8.09 7
116 Bitter Birds Birds   318 326 339 336 329   -3.5 -9.9 1.2 -5.9 -17.4   -8.69 6
117 T-Ranketology T-Rank   312 352 310 329 339   -9.5 16.1 -27.8 -12.9 -7.4   -9.96 5
118 Uprise Bracketology Uprise   315 312 331 346 325   -6.5 -23.9 -6.8 4.1 -21.4   -11.02 5
119 Projecting the Field - Jordan Schwartz JSch       331 328 335       -6.8 -13.9 -11.4   -11.09 8
120 Bracket Research Res     322 325 327 337     -13.9 -12.8 -14.9 -9.4   -12.35 4
121 Crotistics Cro   327 325 323 328 332   5.5 -10.9 -14.8 -13.9 -14.4   -12.56 9
122 Wilson Rankings WR   312 333 341 319 328   -9.5 -2.9 3.2 -22.9 -18.4   -12.62 6
123 Aidan's Bracketology Aidan   323 337 330 329 321   1.5 1.1 -7.8 -12.9 -25.4   -13.22 6
124 Schmolik 64 S64   324 331 329 327 325   2.5 -4.9 -8.8 -14.9 -21.4   -13.36 15
125 Streaking the Lawn Lawn       320 342 323       -17.8 0.1 -23.4   -14.17 3
126 Crashing the Dance CtD   322 352 327 314 315   0.5 16.1 -10.8 -27.9 -31.4   -17.89 14
127 Eye on the Tournament Eye     338 335 325 303     2.1 -2.8 -16.9 -43.4   -20.63 4
128 College Sports Madness CSM   296 332 315 312 328   -25.5 -3.9 -22.8 -29.9 -18.4   -20.89 5
129 Luke Benz Benz       320 321 304       -17.8 -20.9 -42.4   -29.09 3
130 Bracketography/Team Rankings TR   305 310 297 300 312   -16.5 -25.9 -40.8 -41.9 -34.4   -35.36 15
131 Sportemind Bracketology Sport       307 321 293       -30.8 -20.9 -53.4   -36.92 3
132 RTS Ratings RTS   282 307 324 332 243   -39.5 -28.9 -13.8 -9.9 -103.4   -46.36 5
133 KPI Rankings KPI   301 305 316 298 265   -20.5 -30.9 -21.8 -43.9 -81.4   -48.69 7
134 Numberfire Fire     303 289 295 286     -32.9 -48.8 -46.9 -60.4   -50.13 4
135 Real Time RPI Real   297 303 296 291 275   -24.5 -32.9 -41.8 -50.9 -71.4   -51.76 11
                                 
BRACKET NEWBIES - 1-2 of LAST 5 YEARS     2016 2017 2018 2019 2021   2016 2017 2018 2019 2021      
                                 
1 From the Rafters FTR         366 366         24.1 19.6   21.58 2
2 College Sports Enthusiasts CSE           365           18.6   18.59 1
3 801 Bracketology 801           364           17.6   17.59 1
4 Let's Talk Sports LTS           364           17.6   17.59 1
5 Robo Macketology Robo           363           16.6   16.59 3
6 Bauertology Bauer         353 366         11.1 19.6   15.80 2
7 Dubz on Hoops Dubz           362           15.6   15.59 1
8 Keith's Sports Bracketology Keith           362           15.6   15.59 1
9 Bub's Bracketology Bub         362           15.6   15.59 1
10 The Stats Guru Guru         353 364         11.1 17.6   14.69 2
11 Bracketometry Metry         353 363         11.1 16.6   14.14 2
12 Top Level Sports CG         355 359         13.1 12.6   12.80 2
13 Bluegrass Bracketology BG           359           12.6   12.59 1
14 Another Bracket AnB           359           12.6   12.59 1
15 On the Bubble OTB         358           11.6   11.59 1
16 Jacketology Jacket           358           11.6   11.59 1
17 T3 Bracketology T3           357           10.6   10.59 1
18 Mark Stouffer's Bracketology MSB           357           10.6   10.59 1
19 jMorr Bracketology jMorr           356           9.6   9.59 1
20 FOX Sports - Mike DeCourcy FOX           356           9.6   9.59 1
21 YAGO Brackets YAGO           356           9.6   9.59 1
22 Cardinaldave's Bracketology CD         356 350         14.1 3.6   8.25 2
23 The Truth's Bracketology Truth         347 357         5.1 10.6   8.14 2
24 Amateur Hour Bracketology AHB           353           6.6   6.59 1
25 Beery's Brackets Beery           353           6.6   6.59 1
26 The Athletic - Brian Bennett Ath         338 361         -3.9 14.6   6.36 2
27 The Pi-Rate Ratings Pi         340 359         -1.9 12.6   6.14 2
28 TheNightVenom Venom         344 355         2.1 8.6   5.69 2
29 NP Bracketology NP           352           5.6   5.59 1
30 Andrew Adams Field of 68 AA           350           3.6   3.59 1
31 Last Word on Sports LWOS           350           3.6   3.59 1
32 WA's Bracket WA           350           3.6   3.59 1
33 NCAA - Andy Katz Katz         351 345         9.1 -1.4   3.25 2
34 Cracked Sidewalks CS         336 357         -5.9 10.6   3.25 3
35 The Neutral Site Podcast NSP           348           1.6   1.59 1
36 Sporting News - Bill Bender SN         342 349         0.1 2.6   1.47 2
37 AMA Bracketology AMA         343 347         1.1 0.6   0.80 2
38 Pollaski's World PW         341 348         -0.9 1.6   0.47 2
39 JS Bracketology JSB           344           -2.4   -2.41 1
40 Bracketology Updates Updates           344           -2.4   -2.41 1
41 Yahoo Sports - Michael Lazarus Yahoo           342           -4.4   -4.41 3
42 Jacob Larson's Bracketology JL           342           -4.4   -4.41 1
43 Ryan Tures Bracketology Tures         345 335         3.1 -11.4   -4.97 2
44 Deceptive Speed DS         337 340         -4.9 -6.4   -5.75 2
45 Power Sports Power         341 336         -0.9 -10.4   -6.20 2
46 Bracket Engineering Eng           340           -6.4   -6.41 1
47 JNG Nitty Gritty Rankings JNG           339           -7.4   -7.41 1
48 Jakesnake42 Bracketology Jake           338           -8.4   -8.41 1
49 Calm Yourself Bracketology Calm           338           -8.4   -8.41 1
50 seeding68 S68         342 330         0.1 -16.4   -9.08 5
51 Cox Content Bracketology  Cox           337           -9.4   -9.41 1
52 NJ Bracketology NJ           334           -12.4   -12.41 1
53 Spencer's Bracketology SB           333           -13.4   -13.41 1
54 Logan's Sports Ratings Logan         314 344         -27.9 -2.4   -13.75 2
55 Rock M Nation Rock           332           -14.4   -14.41 8
56 Evan Miyakawa's Bracketology EM           332           -14.4   -14.41 1
57 Sports Illustrated - Kevin Sweeney SI           332           -14.4   -14.41 1
58 Skarmory's Bracketology Skar           330           -16.4   -16.41 1
59 Memphis Gameday MGB           330           -16.4   -16.41 1
60 INCC Stats INCC         328 328         -13.9 -18.4   -16.42 2
61 Bracketology Busters Busters         323 331         -18.9 -15.4   -16.97 2
62 NCAAMReview Rev         299 348         -42.9 1.6   -18.20 2
63 The Barking Crow Crow           325           -21.4   -21.41 1
64 DPI Bracketology DPI         357 281         15.1 -65.4   -29.64 2
65 Bracketaday Day           290           -56.4   -56.41 1
66 College Basketball Rating CBR           280           -66.4   -66.41 1
67 Cheese Bracketology Cheese           273           -73.4   -73.41 1

What's this all about?

The Bracket Matrix tries to collect most bracketologists' opinions of how the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament bracket will look like each year.  This page measures how closely each bracketologist matched the work of the selection committee. This emphasizes seeding as much as picking the correct teams in the field.

Using the final results from past matrices, each site was graded based on a scoring system made by Paymon at PHSports.  This rubric awards 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team not seeded correctly but within one seed line. With 68 teams, a perfect score is 408.  The variance section of the data table below lists the absolute deviation between each score and the mean for that particular year.  Thus, a 10 point variance means that site's bracket scored 10 points higher than the average bracket that year.

This table only looks at the last 5 years of data rather than all years of the Bracket Matrix. This was done to better compare bracketologists with the most recent set of data, to drop the early years when brackets consisted of 65 teams instead of 68, and to match a real committee member's term of 5 years. A weighted average will be used to emphasize the most recent years. Links to data prior to 2016 can be found on the blog.

Please remember that these are in essence the final exam grades.  The true value of a good bracketologist lies in how much preparation he or she does leading up to the final exam including watching games, making mock brackets, looking at computer rankings, comparing blind resumes, taking questions from ESPN personalities (okay, that's just Lunardi), interacting with the fans to incite debate, and in the end, figuring out how the committee will put together the official bracket.  Of course, in most courses, final exams count the most, so with that being said, here are the results.  Bracketologists have been split into two groups: one group contains sites that have data for at least 3 of the last 5 years.  The second group shows everybody else.  All bracketologists must have submitted a bracket in 2021 to be on this list.


Questions, comments, or mistakes should be mailed to bracketproject@gmail.com